CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction (Odds ~1.95) – Cup Semi-Final Second Leg Drama

CSKA Sofia 🇧🇬 vs Ludogorets 🇧🇬 Prediction – Bulgarian Cup Semi-Final (April 29, 2026)

Match Overview

CSKA Sofia host PFC Ludogorets Razgrad in a decisive Bulgarian Cup semi-final second leg ⚽

• Date: April 29, 2026
• Kick-off: 17:00
• Venue: Stadion Bălgarska Armija (Sofia)

CSKA Sofia hold a narrow 2-1 advantage from the first leg, setting up a tense and tactical showdown in the capital.

Head-to-Head Record

This rivalry remains one of the most competitive in Bulgarian football.

• Last 10 Matches:
  • Ludogorets Wins: 5
  • CSKA Sofia Wins: 3
  • Draws: 2

Despite Ludogorets’ overall dominance in recent years, CSKA have been strong in knockout fixtures.

First Leg Context & xG Analysis

CSKA’s 2-1 away win gives them a slight advantage, but the tie is far from decided.

• First Leg xG:
  • Ludogorets: 1.6
  • CSKA Sofia: 1.4

The margins were tight, reflecting a balanced tactical battle.

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia

• Last 5 Matches: 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• Average xG: 1.5 per match
• Strength: Defensive organization and counter-attacks 🔥

Ludogorets

• Last 5 Matches: 4 Wins, 0 Draws, 1 Loss
• Average xG: 2.0 per match
• Strength: Possession control and attacking depth ⚡

Predicted Lineups

CSKA Sofia (4-2-3-1)

• GK: Busatto
• DEF: Antov, Mazikou, Almeida, Turitsov
• MID: Carreazo, Vion
• ATT: Phaeton, Nazon, Henrique
• ST: Duckens Nazon

Ludogorets (4-3-3)

• GK: Padt
• DEF: Cicinho, Verdon, Nedyalkov, Witry
• MID: Piotrowski, Chochev, Caio
• ATT: Tekpetey, Rick, Tissera

Tactical Analysis

CSKA are expected to adopt a compact defensive shape, focusing on protecting their aggregate lead while looking for counter-attacking opportunities.

Ludogorets will likely dominate possession and push high, but this aggressive approach may leave space behind for CSKA to exploit.

The first goal will be crucial — if Ludogorets score early, the tie could swing dramatically.

Prediction & Betting Insight 💡

Given the aggregate situation, CSKA may prioritize control over risk, while Ludogorets push for dominance.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Ludogorets to Win (Aggregate Decision)
Expected Score: 1-2
Estimated Odds: 1.95

Conclusion

A high-pressure cup battle is expected in Sofia. CSKA’s advantage gives them confidence, but Ludogorets’ attacking quality could overturn the deficit in a tight and dramatic contest ⚽🔥